Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$111.21
+133.64% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$47.60
Mkt cap $22.92B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$64.00
+34.45% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
ROL · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
ROL · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $348.07 | $99.13 – $398.28 | +631.24% | 22.3% | WACC 4.9%, g₀=12.1%, gₗ=4.4% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $45.53 | $31.28 – $71.96 | -4.36% | 16.8% | kₑ 8.0%, g₀=12.1%, gₗ=4.4% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $17.01 | $13.34 – $23.48 | -64.26% | — | D₁ 0.59, kₑ 8.0%, gₗ 4.4% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $23.33 | $16.38 – $35.58 | -50.98% | — | D₀ 0.59, g₀=12.1%, gₗ=4.4%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $20.27 | $17.23 – $23.31 | -57.43% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 12.1% → 4.4%, kₑ 8.0% | high |
| Residual income | income | $4.30 | $3.79 – $4.82 | -90.96% | 11.2% | BV 2.48, ROE 38.3% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $226.47 | $199.29 – $253.65 | +375.78% | 7.8% | IC 2.6B, WACC 4.9% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $21.80 | $19.18 – $24.42 | -54.20% | 13.4% | EPS 1.09 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $12.22 | $10.39 – $14.05 | -74.33% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 6.79 × peer P/S 1.80 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $17.82 | $15.69 – $19.96 | -62.55% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 1.2B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $18.32 | $15.57 – $21.06 | -61.52% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $8.17 | $6.94 – $9.39 | -82.84% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.53× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $14.15 | $12.03 – $16.28 | -70.27% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 13.0% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $18.24 | $16.05 – $20.43 | -61.68% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $35.20 | $29.92 – $40.48 | -26.04% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $13.21 | $11.23 – $15.19 | -72.25% | 0.6% | PE = g (12.1) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $2.48 | $2.36 – $2.60 | -94.79% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $0.83 | $0.71 – $0.96 | -98.25% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -20.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.79)β | × 0.79 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 7.99% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.15% |
| Effective tax ratet | 24.4% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 1.62% |
| Equity weight$1.4B | 50.8% |
| Debt weight$1.3B | 49.2% |
| WACC | 4.86% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 9.78% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 12.98% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 11.60% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 10.92% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 14.47% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 12.12% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 4.36% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $64.00
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.