Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$330.41
+299.57% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$82.69
Mkt cap $53.21B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$96.50
+16.70% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 20
9 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
MET · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
MET · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $1,947.98 | $1,353.89 – $3,008.14 | +2255.76% | 6.0% | WACC 6.2%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.3% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $1,264.23 | $939.27 – $1,762.87 | +1428.87% | 11.9% | kₑ 7.9%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.3% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $43.74 | $37.09 – $53.29 | -47.11% | 11.9% | D₁ 2.39, kₑ 7.9%, gₗ 2.3% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $92.17 | $72.73 – $120.10 | +11.47% | — | D₀ 2.39, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.3%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $71.31 | $60.61 – $82.01 | -13.76% | 11.9% | 5y schedule 25.0% → 2.3%, kₑ 7.9% | high |
| Residual income | income | $49.64 | $43.68 – $55.60 | -39.97% | 21.4% | BV 45.71, ROE 11.7% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $311.30 | $273.94 – $348.65 | +276.46% | 7.1% | IC 27.1B, WACC 6.2% | high |
| Excess returns | income | $57.85 | $50.91 – $64.79 | -30.04% | 14.3% | BV 45.71, ROE 11.7% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $67.20 | $59.14 – $75.26 | -18.73% | 9.5% | EPS 4.80 × peer P/E 14.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $365.53 | $310.70 – $420.35 | +342.04% | — | Rev/sh 121.84 × peer P/S 3.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $93.37 | $82.16 – $104.57 | +12.91% | — | EBITDA × peer 10.0× − ND -1.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $91.33 | $77.63 – $105.03 | +10.45% | — | EBIT × peer 12.0× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $313.62 | $266.58 – $360.66 | +279.27% | — | Sales × peer 2.55× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $192.00 | $163.20 – $220.80 | +132.19% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 106.3% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $89.12 | $78.43 – $99.82 | +7.78% | — | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $229.67 | $195.22 – $264.12 | +177.75% | — | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $120.00 | $102.00 – $138.00 | +45.12% | — | PE = g (25.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $45.71 | $43.43 – $48.00 | -44.72% | 6.0% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -20.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.78)β | × 0.78 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 7.92% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 5.26% |
| Effective tax ratet | 27.0% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.84% |
| Equity weight$28.9B | 58.9% |
| Debt weight$20.2B | 41.1% |
| WACC | 6.24% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 4.33% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 106.28% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 5.02% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -11.00% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 6.47% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 25.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.34% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Financial Services (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $96.50
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.