Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$152.22
-14.79% vs spot
Underweight
Spot price
$178.65
Mkt cap $21.06B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$187.38
+4.89% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
CHRW · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
CHRW · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $284.18 | $195.92 – $438.26 | +59.07% | 22.3% | WACC 6.1%, g₀=12.3%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $167.50 | $128.24 – $224.59 | -6.24% | 16.8% | kₑ 8.7%, g₀=12.3%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $39.17 | $34.06 – $46.09 | -78.07% | — | D₁ 2.56, kₑ 8.7%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $59.04 | $46.33 – $76.24 | -66.95% | — | D₀ 2.56, g₀=12.3%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $49.33 | $41.93 – $56.72 | -72.39% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 12.3% → 2.0%, kₑ 8.7% | high |
| Residual income | income | $24.45 | $21.51 – $27.38 | -86.32% | 11.2% | BV 15.68, ROE 31.8% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $166.74 | $146.73 – $186.75 | -6.67% | 7.8% | IC 3.3B, WACC 6.1% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $96.60 | $85.01 – $108.19 | -45.93% | 13.4% | EPS 4.83 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $275.78 | $234.41 – $317.14 | +54.37% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 137.89 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $85.63 | $75.35 – $95.90 | -52.07% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 1.5B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $92.87 | $78.94 – $106.80 | -48.02% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $221.94 | $188.65 – $255.23 | +24.23% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $133.08 | $113.12 – $153.04 | -25.51% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 27.6% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $78.25 | $68.86 – $87.64 | -56.20% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $158.16 | $134.44 – $181.88 | -11.47% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $59.63 | $50.69 – $68.58 | -66.62% | 0.6% | PE = g (12.3) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $15.68 | $14.89 – $16.46 | -91.22% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $3.20 | $2.72 – $3.68 | -98.21% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 2.2% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.94)β | × 0.94 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 8.67% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.87% |
| Effective tax ratet | 18.2% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.17% |
| Equity weight$1.8B | 53.1% |
| Debt weight$1.6B | 46.9% |
| WACC | 6.09% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 4.08% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 27.55% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | -8.44% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -6.46% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 15.48% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 12.35% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $187.38
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.