Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$61.93
+13.27% vs spot
Buy
Spot price
$54.67
Mkt cap $14.56B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$70.25
+28.50% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
17 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
BALL · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
BALL · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $89.29 | $56.65 – $146.78 | +63.33% | 22.3% | WACC 6.0%, g₀=13.2%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $40.19 | $31.11 – $53.12 | -26.48% | 16.8% | kₑ 9.2%, g₀=13.2%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $10.42 | $9.15 – $12.10 | -80.93% | — | D₁ 0.74, kₑ 9.2%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $16.14 | $12.83 – $20.52 | -70.47% | — | D₀ 0.74, g₀=13.2%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $13.35 | $11.35 – $15.35 | -75.58% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 13.2% → 2.0%, kₑ 9.2% | high |
| Residual income | income | $21.40 | $18.83 – $23.97 | -60.85% | 11.2% | BV 18.16, ROE 16.8% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $105.19 | $92.57 – $117.81 | +92.41% | 7.8% | IC 11.2B, WACC 6.0% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $66.00 | $58.08 – $73.92 | +20.72% | 13.4% | EPS 3.30 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $79.34 | $67.44 – $91.24 | +45.13% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 44.08 × peer P/S 1.80 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $71.62 | $63.02 – $80.21 | +31.00% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 5.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $53.20 | $45.22 – $61.18 | -2.69% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $48.02 | $40.81 – $55.22 | -12.17% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.53× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $70.33 | $59.78 – $80.88 | +28.65% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 21.3% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $41.87 | $36.85 – $46.90 | -23.41% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $113.57 | $96.53 – $130.60 | +107.74% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $43.53 | $37.00 – $50.06 | -20.37% | 0.6% | PE = g (13.2) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $18.16 | $17.25 – $19.06 | -66.79% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 2.4% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.06)β | × 1.06 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 9.21% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 4.48% |
| Effective tax ratet | 20.8% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.55% |
| Equity weight$5.4B | 43.6% |
| Debt weight$7.0B | 56.4% |
| WACC | 6.02% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 10.24% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 21.31% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | -1.41% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 5.64% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 12.77% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 13.19% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $70.25
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.