Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$753.27
+256.22% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$211.46
Mkt cap $84.92B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$252.86
+19.58% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
17 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
WM · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
WM · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $2,166.26 | $588.74 – $2,479.87 | +924.43% | 22.3% | WACC 4.2%, g₀=14.6%, gₗ=3.7% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $272.60 | $177.73 – $474.12 | +28.91% | 16.8% | kₑ 6.7%, g₀=14.6%, gₗ=3.7% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $108.06 | $80.69 – $163.56 | -48.90% | — | D₁ 3.07, kₑ 6.7%, gₗ 3.7% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $164.78 | $111.37 – $273.06 | -22.07% | — | D₀ 3.07, g₀=14.6%, gₗ=3.7%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $138.21 | $117.48 – $158.94 | -34.64% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 14.6% → 3.7%, kₑ 6.7% | high |
| Residual income | income | $34.62 | $30.47 – $38.78 | -83.63% | 11.2% | BV 23.00, ROE 27.1% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $2,091.53 | $1,840.55 – $2,342.52 | +889.09% | 7.8% | IC 32.7B, WACC 4.2% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $134.00 | $117.92 – $150.08 | -36.63% | 13.4% | EPS 6.70 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $116.03 | $98.62 – $133.43 | -45.13% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 58.01 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $163.21 | $143.63 – $182.80 | -22.82% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 22.7B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $113.16 | $96.19 – $130.14 | -46.49% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $46.36 | $39.41 – $53.31 | -78.08% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $148.26 | $126.02 – $170.50 | -29.89% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 22.1% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $146.73 | $129.12 – $164.34 | -30.61% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $249.30 | $211.90 – $286.69 | +17.89% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $97.87 | $83.19 – $112.55 | -53.72% | 0.6% | PE = g (14.6) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $23.00 | $21.85 – $24.15 | -89.12% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -20.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.49)β | × 0.49 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 6.67% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.98% |
| Effective tax ratet | 20.8% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.15% |
| Equity weight$10.0B | 30.4% |
| Debt weight$22.9B | 69.6% |
| WACC | 4.22% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 5.18% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 22.13% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 8.88% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 11.79% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 13.75% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 14.61% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 3.72% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $252.86
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.