Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$128.37
+39.90% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$91.76
Mkt cap $15.96B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$103.80
+13.12% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
TXT · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
TXT · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $209.09 | $143.18 – $323.89 | +127.87% | 22.3% | WACC 6.2%, g₀=16.0%, gₗ=2.1% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $124.08 | $94.56 – $167.29 | +35.22% | 16.8% | kₑ 8.6%, g₀=16.0%, gₗ=2.1% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $1.66 | $1.44 – $1.96 | -98.19% | — | D₁ 0.11, kₑ 8.6%, gₗ 2.1% | low |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $2.79 | $2.21 – $3.58 | -96.96% | — | D₀ 0.11, g₀=16.0%, gₗ=2.1%, H 5y | low |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $2.25 | $1.92 – $2.59 | -97.54% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 16.0% → 2.1%, kₑ 8.6% | low |
| Residual income | income | $46.99 | $41.35 – $52.62 | -48.80% | 11.2% | BV 43.82, ROE 11.7% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $195.32 | $171.88 – $218.76 | +112.86% | 7.8% | IC 10.1B, WACC 6.2% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $102.20 | $89.94 – $114.46 | +11.38% | 13.4% | EPS 5.11 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $164.69 | $139.99 – $189.40 | +79.48% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 82.35 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $106.51 | $93.73 – $119.29 | +16.07% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 2.3B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $95.86 | $81.48 – $110.24 | +4.47% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $127.43 | $108.32 – $146.55 | +38.87% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $140.43 | $119.37 – $161.50 | +53.04% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 27.5% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $77.23 | $67.96 – $86.50 | -15.84% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $204.16 | $173.53 – $234.78 | +122.49% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $81.75 | $69.49 – $94.02 | -10.91% | 0.6% | PE = g (16.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $43.82 | $41.63 – $46.01 | -52.25% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $16.94 | $14.40 – $19.48 | -81.54% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -2.1% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.93)β | × 0.93 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 8.63% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.27% |
| Effective tax ratet | 19.5% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 1.82% |
| Equity weight$7.9B | 64.8% |
| Debt weight$4.3B | 35.2% |
| WACC | 6.23% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 5.50% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 27.48% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 4.56% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 11.55% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 11.45% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 16.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.12% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2024-01-03)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $103.80
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.