Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$69.31
+221.45% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$21.56
Mkt cap $10.14B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$37.12
+72.17% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
15 / 16
11 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
TTD · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
TTD · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $153.43 | $81.68 – $495.30 | +611.65% | 24.4% | WACC 8.6%, g₀=16.1%, gₗ=7.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $100.37 | $61.63 – $200.35 | +365.53% | 20.0% | kₑ 9.3%, g₀=16.1%, gₗ=7.0% | high |
| Residual income | income | $5.61 | $4.93 – $6.28 | -73.99% | 13.3% | BV 4.64, ROE 17.8% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $52.17 | $45.91 – $58.43 | +141.98% | 8.9% | IC 2.3B, WACC 8.6% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $20.02 | $17.62 – $22.42 | -7.14% | 11.1% | EPS 0.91 × peer P/E 22.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $21.65 | $18.40 – $24.90 | +0.41% | — | Rev/sh 5.41 × peer P/S 4.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $20.68 | $18.20 – $23.16 | -4.09% | 11.1% | EBITDA × peer 14.0× − ND -0.2B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $18.92 | $16.08 – $21.75 | -12.27% | — | EBIT × peer 16.8× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $18.82 | $15.99 – $21.64 | -12.73% | 5.6% | Sales × peer 3.40× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $8.70 | $7.39 – $10.00 | -59.66% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 9.6% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $9.08 | $7.99 – $10.17 | -57.88% | 1.1% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $36.57 | $31.08 – $42.05 | +69.61% | 1.1% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $14.67 | $12.47 – $16.87 | -31.97% | 1.1% | PE = g (16.1) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $4.64 | $4.41 – $4.87 | -78.47% | 2.2% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $1.56 | $1.33 – $1.80 | -92.76% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -20.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.10)β | × 1.10 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 9.35% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 5.96% |
| Effective tax ratet | 32.7% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 4.01% |
| Equity weight$2.5B | 85.1% |
| Debt weight$0.4B | 14.9% |
| WACC | 8.55% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 10.02% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 9.56% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 24.73% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 34.27% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 17.84% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 16.12% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 7.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Communication Services (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $37.12
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.