Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$140.51
+80.48% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$77.85
Mkt cap $11.71B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$62.75
-19.40% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
12 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
SWKS · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
SWKS · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $230.95 | $179.29 – $303.79 | +196.66% | 23.4% | WACC 9.5%, g₀=20.1%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $183.30 | $145.85 – $233.91 | +135.45% | 19.1% | kₑ 11.0%, g₀=20.1%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $36.39 | $32.77 – $40.92 | -53.25% | — | D₁ 3.23, kₑ 11.0%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $68.73 | $57.06 – $83.29 | -11.72% | — | D₀ 3.23, g₀=20.1%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $53.57 | $45.53 – $61.60 | -31.19% | 4.3% | 5y schedule 20.1% → 2.0%, kₑ 11.0% | high |
| Residual income | income | $40.51 | $35.65 – $45.37 | -47.97% | 12.8% | BV 42.94, ROE 8.3% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $80.70 | $71.02 – $90.39 | +3.67% | 8.5% | IC 5.8B, WACC 9.5% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $86.24 | $75.89 – $96.59 | +10.78% | 10.6% | EPS 3.08 × peer P/E 28.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $182.89 | $155.45 – $210.32 | +134.92% | — | Rev/sh 30.48 × peer P/S 6.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $151.36 | $133.20 – $169.52 | +94.42% | 10.6% | EBITDA × peer 20.0× − ND 0.0B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $89.19 | $75.81 – $102.56 | +14.56% | — | EBIT × peer 24.0× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $155.14 | $131.87 – $178.41 | +99.28% | 5.3% | Sales × peer 5.10× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $123.20 | $104.72 – $141.68 | +58.25% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 62.2% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $34.46 | $30.33 – $38.60 | -55.73% | 1.1% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $147.37 | $125.26 – $169.48 | +89.30% | 1.1% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $61.99 | $52.69 – $71.28 | -20.38% | 1.1% | PE = g (20.1) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $42.94 | $40.79 – $45.08 | -44.85% | 2.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $27.82 | $23.65 – $32.00 | -64.26% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -4.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.48)β | × 1.48 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 11.04% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.25% |
| Effective tax ratet | 11.6% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 1.99% |
| Equity weight$5.8B | 82.7% |
| Debt weight$1.2B | 17.3% |
| WACC | 9.48% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | -4.03% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 62.19% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | -5.43% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -23.45% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 0.77% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 20.13% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-10-02)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Technology (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $62.75
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.