Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$186.49
-6.96% vs spot
Underweight
Spot price
$200.44
Mkt cap $61.67B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$239.78
+19.63% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
RSG · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
RSG · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $281.65 | $190.35 – $456.92 | +40.52% | 22.3% | WACC 6.6%, g₀=8.1%, gₗ=3.1% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $239.33 | $160.29 – $395.83 | +19.40% | 16.8% | kₑ 6.4%, g₀=8.1%, gₗ=3.1% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $73.19 | $56.04 – $105.49 | -63.48% | — | D₁ 2.32, kₑ 6.4%, gₗ 3.1% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $90.91 | $61.45 – $146.36 | -54.65% | — | D₀ 2.32, g₀=8.1%, gₗ=3.1%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $82.14 | $69.82 – $94.46 | -59.02% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 8.1% → 3.1%, kₑ 6.4% | high |
| Residual income | income | $48.13 | $42.36 – $53.91 | -75.99% | 11.2% | BV 37.59, ROE 17.9% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $248.32 | $218.52 – $278.11 | +23.89% | 7.8% | IC 12.5B, WACC 6.6% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $137.00 | $120.56 – $153.44 | -31.65% | 13.4% | EPS 6.85 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $104.22 | $88.59 – $119.85 | -48.01% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 52.11 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $212.73 | $187.20 – $238.25 | +6.13% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 0.5B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $161.13 | $136.96 – $185.30 | -19.61% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $86.95 | $73.91 – $100.00 | -56.62% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $43.42 | $36.91 – $49.93 | -78.34% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 6.3% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $129.15 | $113.65 – $144.65 | -35.57% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $167.46 | $142.34 – $192.58 | -16.45% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $55.76 | $47.40 – $64.12 | -72.18% | 0.6% | PE = g (8.1) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $37.59 | $35.71 – $39.47 | -81.25% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $5.28 | $4.49 – $6.07 | -97.37% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -0.2% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.44)β | × 0.44 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 6.41% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 12.00% |
| Effective tax ratet | 17.5% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 9.90% |
| Equity weight$12.0B | 95.3% |
| Debt weight$0.6B | 4.7% |
| WACC | 6.58% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 3.62% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 6.34% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 10.09% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 14.11% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 11.71% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 8.14% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 3.15% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $239.78
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.