Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$121.71
-32.91% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$181.40
Mkt cap $6.61B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$279.29
+53.96% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
20 / 21
17 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
POOL · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
POOL · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $97.76 | $82.59 – $129.71 | -46.11% | 19.9% | WACC 9.5%, g₀=2.8%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $90.24 | $77.18 – $117.75 | -50.25% | 14.9% | kₑ 9.6%, g₀=2.8%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $58.90 | $52.05 – $67.81 | -67.53% | — | D₁ 4.39, kₑ 9.6%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $61.21 | $52.05 – $80.45 | -66.25% | — | D₀ 4.39, g₀=2.8%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $59.98 | $50.99 – $68.98 | -66.93% | 5.0% | 5y schedule 2.8% → 2.0%, kₑ 9.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $45.10 | $39.68 – $50.51 | -75.14% | 10.0% | BV 28.15, ROE 34.3% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $107.33 | $94.45 – $120.21 | -40.83% | 7.0% | IC 1.4B, WACC 9.5% | high |
| Justified P/E | multiple | $74.59 | $63.41 – $85.78 | -58.88% | 6.0% | Fair P/E 6.9 (payout 46%, kₑ 9.6%, g 2.8%) | med |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $217.00 | $190.96 – $243.04 | +19.63% | 11.9% | EPS 10.85 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| Justified P/B | multiple | $130.28 | $110.74 – $149.82 | -28.18% | 5.0% | Fair P/B 4.63 · ROE 34.3%, kₑ 9.6% | high |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $251.27 | $213.58 – $288.97 | +38.52% | 3.0% | Rev/sh 125.64 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $189.31 | $166.59 – $212.02 | +4.36% | 10.0% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 0.2B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $209.20 | $177.82 – $240.58 | +15.33% | 2.0% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $207.80 | $176.63 – $238.97 | +14.55% | 2.0% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $54.25 | $46.11 – $62.39 | -70.09% | 1.0% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 2.1% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $104.03 | $91.55 – $116.51 | -42.65% | 0.5% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $150.99 | $128.34 – $173.64 | -16.76% | 0.5% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $54.25 | $46.11 – $62.39 | -70.09% | 0.5% | PE = g (2.8) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $28.15 | $26.74 – $29.56 | -84.48% | 1.0% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $3.06 | $2.60 – $3.52 | -98.31% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 14.1% · Reasonable — in line with sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.15)β | × 1.15 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 9.61% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 12.00% |
| Effective tax ratet | 24.4% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 9.07% |
| Equity weight$1.2B | 77.3% |
| Debt weight$0.3B | 22.7% |
| WACC | 9.48% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 2.76% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 2.08% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | -0.03% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -9.21% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 18.69% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 2.80% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $279.29
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.