Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$284.18
-37.30% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$453.26
Mkt cap $79.18B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$544.75
+20.18% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
19 / 20
9 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
MCO · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
MCO · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $1,525.45 | $847.33 – $3,892.60 | +236.55% | 6.0% | WACC 5.1%, g₀=17.6%, gₗ=3.3% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $346.47 | $268.73 – $456.69 | -23.56% | 11.9% | kₑ 10.6%, g₀=17.6%, gₗ=3.3% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $56.55 | $49.73 – $65.54 | -87.52% | 11.9% | D₁ 3.99, kₑ 10.6%, gₗ 3.3% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $95.83 | $77.05 – $120.60 | -78.86% | — | D₀ 3.99, g₀=17.6%, gₗ=3.3%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $77.14 | $65.57 – $88.71 | -82.98% | 11.9% | 5y schedule 17.6% → 3.3%, kₑ 10.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $56.82 | $50.00 – $63.64 | -87.46% | 21.4% | BV 23.94, ROE 58.5% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $1,334.59 | $1,174.44 – $1,494.74 | +194.44% | 7.1% | IC 9.2B, WACC 5.1% | high |
| Excess returns | income | $63.43 | $55.82 – $71.05 | -86.00% | 14.3% | BV 23.94, ROE 58.5% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $191.38 | $168.41 – $214.35 | -57.78% | 9.5% | EPS 13.67 × peer P/E 14.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $131.81 | $112.03 – $151.58 | -70.92% | — | Rev/sh 43.94 × peer P/S 3.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $195.73 | $172.24 – $219.22 | -56.82% | — | EBITDA × peer 10.0× − ND 5.0B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $207.74 | $176.58 – $238.90 | -54.17% | — | EBIT × peer 12.0× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $83.76 | $71.20 – $96.32 | -81.52% | — | Sales × peer 2.55× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $303.66 | $258.11 – $349.21 | -33.00% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 22.2% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $271.70 | $239.09 – $304.30 | -40.06% | — | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $590.19 | $501.66 – $678.71 | +30.21% | — | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $241.02 | $204.87 – $277.17 | -46.83% | — | PE = g (17.6) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $23.94 | $22.74 – $25.13 | -94.72% | 6.0% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $0.97 | $0.83 – $1.12 | -99.78% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -8.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.37)β | × 1.37 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 10.57% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.57% |
| Effective tax ratet | 21.8% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.01% |
| Equity weight$4.2B | 36.4% |
| Debt weight$7.4B | 63.6% |
| WACC | 5.12% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 6.75% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 22.21% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 5.55% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 3.79% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 41.81% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 17.63% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 3.28% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Financial Services (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $544.75
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.