Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$73.62
+2.76% vs spot
Hold
Spot price
$71.64
Mkt cap $28.04B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$99.50
+38.89% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
IR · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
IR · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $151.89 | $106.30 – $228.03 | +112.02% | 22.3% | WACC 8.1%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=3.6% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $91.47 | $69.57 – $123.59 | +27.68% | 16.8% | kₑ 10.0%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=3.6% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $1.21 | $1.04 – $1.43 | -98.32% | — | D₁ 0.07, kₑ 10.0%, gₗ 3.6% | low |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $2.45 | $1.97 – $3.11 | -96.58% | — | D₀ 0.07, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=3.6%, H 5y | low |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $1.90 | $1.62 – $2.19 | -97.35% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 25.0% → 3.6%, kₑ 10.0% | low |
| Residual income | income | $21.59 | $19.00 – $24.18 | -69.86% | 11.2% | BV 23.83, ROE 5.7% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $102.32 | $90.04 – $114.60 | +42.83% | 7.8% | IC 13.7B, WACC 8.1% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $29.00 | $25.52 – $32.48 | -59.52% | 13.4% | EPS 1.45 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $35.92 | $30.53 – $41.31 | -49.86% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 17.96 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $50.40 | $44.36 – $56.45 | -29.64% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 3.5B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $43.62 | $37.08 – $50.17 | -39.11% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $22.23 | $18.90 – $25.56 | -68.97% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $58.00 | $49.30 – $66.70 | -19.04% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 141.9% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $22.61 | $19.89 – $25.32 | -68.45% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $69.38 | $58.97 – $79.79 | -3.16% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $36.25 | $30.81 – $41.69 | -49.40% | 0.6% | PE = g (25.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $23.83 | $22.64 – $25.03 | -66.73% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $11.83 | $10.05 – $13.60 | -83.49% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 6.2% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.25)β | × 1.25 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 10.02% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 5.31% |
| Effective tax ratet | 24.9% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.99% |
| Equity weight$10.2B | 68.0% |
| Debt weight$4.8B | 32.0% |
| WACC | 8.09% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 3.79% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 141.91% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 10.39% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 1.99% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 5.41% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 25.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 3.61% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $99.50
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.