Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$99.32
-9.10% vs spot
Underweight
Spot price
$109.27
Mkt cap $48.52B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$109.67
+0.37% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
17 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
EBAY · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
EBAY · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $184.81 | $124.33 – $293.07 | +69.13% | 22.3% | WACC 5.9%, g₀=17.2%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $73.15 | $57.92 – $93.93 | -33.06% | 16.8% | kₑ 10.6%, g₀=17.2%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $14.83 | $13.29 – $16.77 | -86.43% | — | D₁ 1.26, kₑ 10.6%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $25.87 | $21.23 – $31.73 | -76.32% | — | D₀ 1.26, g₀=17.2%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $20.59 | $17.50 – $23.67 | -81.16% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 17.2% → 2.0%, kₑ 10.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $20.64 | $18.16 – $23.11 | -81.11% | 11.2% | BV 10.91, ROE 44.0% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $187.68 | $165.16 – $210.20 | +71.76% | 7.8% | IC 10.1B, WACC 5.9% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $86.80 | $76.38 – $97.22 | -20.56% | 13.4% | EPS 4.34 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $47.25 | $40.16 – $54.34 | -56.76% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 26.25 × peer P/S 1.80 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $74.62 | $65.66 – $83.57 | -31.71% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 5.5B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $70.97 | $60.33 – $81.62 | -35.05% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $27.13 | $23.06 – $31.20 | -75.17% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.53× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $173.60 | $147.56 – $199.64 | +58.87% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 40.9% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $66.93 | $58.90 – $74.96 | -38.75% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $183.62 | $156.07 – $211.16 | +68.04% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $74.61 | $63.42 – $85.81 | -31.72% | 0.6% | PE = g (17.2) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $10.91 | $10.37 – $11.46 | -90.01% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 6.9% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.39)β | × 1.39 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 10.64% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.34% |
| Effective tax ratet | 12.6% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.92% |
| Equity weight$4.6B | 38.5% |
| Debt weight$7.4B | 61.5% |
| WACC | 5.89% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 9.59% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 40.88% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 1.59% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -40.75% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 32.50% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 17.19% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $109.67
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.