Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$850.26
+173.77% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$310.58
Mkt cap $10.33B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$427.06
+37.50% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
16 / 18
13 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
DPZ · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
DPZ · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $2,500.49 | $962.73 – $5,464.97 | +705.10% | 25.8% | WACC 2.9%, g₀=7.3%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $259.32 | $200.33 – $343.93 | -16.50% | 19.4% | kₑ 9.0%, g₀=7.3%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $95.29 | $83.39 – $111.14 | -69.32% | — | D₁ 6.55, kₑ 9.0%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $120.02 | $92.77 – $156.33 | -61.36% | — | D₀ 6.55, g₀=7.3%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $107.39 | $91.28 – $123.49 | -65.42% | 6.5% | 5y schedule 7.3% → 2.0%, kₑ 9.0% | high |
| Justified P/E | multiple | $432.81 | $367.89 – $497.73 | +39.35% | 7.7% | Fair P/E 24.6 (payout 39%, kₑ 9.0%, g 7.3%) | low |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $351.40 | $309.23 – $393.57 | +13.14% | 15.5% | EPS 17.57 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $245.81 | $208.94 – $282.68 | -20.85% | 3.9% | Rev/sh 136.56 × peer P/S 1.80 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $248.27 | $218.48 – $278.07 | -20.06% | 12.9% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 4.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $278.76 | $236.95 – $320.57 | -10.25% | 2.6% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $76.30 | $64.85 – $87.74 | -75.43% | 2.6% | Sales × peer 1.53× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $164.59 | $139.90 – $189.28 | -47.01% | 1.3% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 9.4% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $571.45 | $502.88 – $640.03 | +84.00% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $400.22 | $340.19 – $460.25 | +28.86% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $128.17 | $108.94 – $147.39 | -58.73% | 0.6% | PE = g (7.3) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | -$107.84 | -$102.45 – -$113.24 | -134.72% | — | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g -20.0% · Pessimistic — market pricing decline | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.02)β | × 1.02 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 9.01% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.75% |
| Effective tax ratet | 22.0% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.92% |
| Equity weight$-3.9B | -293.1% |
| Debt weight$5.2B | 393.1% |
| WACC | 2.92% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 5.63% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 9.37% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 3.19% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 6.73% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | — |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 7.29% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-28)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $427.06
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.