Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$64.47
-39.50% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$106.56
Mkt cap $10.71B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$112.48
+5.56% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
19 / 20
9 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
CPT · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
CPT · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $36.20 | $43.26 – $77.43 | -66.03% | 10.5% | WACC 6.0%, g₀=-5.0%, gₗ=2.2% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $30.77 | $35.91 – $42.02 | -71.12% | 10.5% | kₑ 8.1%, g₀=-5.0%, gₗ=2.2% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $77.78 | $66.51 – $93.66 | -27.00% | 10.5% | D₁ 4.49, kₑ 8.1%, gₗ 2.2% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $50.30 | $66.51 – $74.30 | -52.80% | — | D₀ 4.49, g₀=-5.0%, gₗ=2.2%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $65.52 | $55.69 – $75.34 | -38.52% | 18.9% | 5y schedule -5.0% → 2.2%, kₑ 8.1% | high |
| Residual income | income | $43.73 | $38.48 – $48.98 | -58.96% | 5.3% | BV 43.24, ROE 8.7% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | -$21.52 | -$18.93 – -$24.10 | -120.19% | — | IC 8.3B, WACC 6.0% | high |
| Justified P/E | multiple | $25.62 | $21.78 – $29.46 | -75.96% | — | Fair P/E 7.2 (payout 100%, kₑ 8.1%, g -5.0%) | med |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $99.12 | $87.23 – $111.01 | -6.98% | 7.4% | EPS 3.54 × peer P/E 28.0 | med |
| Justified P/B | multiple | $45.00 | $38.25 – $51.75 | -57.77% | — | Fair P/B 1.04 · ROE 8.7%, kₑ 8.1% | high |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $76.64 | $65.15 – $88.14 | -28.07% | — | Rev/sh 15.33 × peer P/S 5.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $163.58 | $143.95 – $183.21 | +53.51% | 10.5% | EBITDA × peer 18.0× − ND 3.9B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $23.04 | $19.58 – $26.49 | -78.38% | — | EBIT × peer 21.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $27.39 | $23.28 – $31.50 | -74.29% | — | Sales × peer 4.25× − ND | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $9.07 | $7.99 – $10.16 | -91.48% | — | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $29.69 | $25.23 – $34.14 | -72.14% | — | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $17.70 | $15.04 – $20.35 | -83.39% | — | PE = g (-5.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $43.24 | $41.07 – $45.40 | -59.43% | 21.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $16.88 | $14.35 – $19.41 | -84.16% | 5.3% | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 9.7% · Reasonable — in line with sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.82)β | × 0.82 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 8.13% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.54% |
| Effective tax ratet | 0.6% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.52% |
| Equity weight$4.4B | 53.2% |
| Debt weight$3.9B | 46.8% |
| WACC | 5.97% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | -0.82% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | -55.44% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 8.31% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 4.58% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 0.00% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | -5.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.22% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Real Estate (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $112.48
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.