Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$93.04
+5.63% vs spot
Hold
Spot price
$88.08
Mkt cap $86.14B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$85.38
-3.07% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
15 / 16
14 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
MNST · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
MNST · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $161.42 | $102.32 – $301.54 | +83.27% | 23.7% | WACC 6.7%, g₀=16.4%, gₗ=4.1% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $158.58 | $99.62 – $298.33 | +80.04% | 17.8% | kₑ 6.7%, g₀=16.4%, gₗ=4.1% | high |
| Residual income | income | $13.87 | $12.20 – $15.53 | -84.26% | 11.8% | BV 9.64, ROE 23.1% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $122.68 | $107.95 – $137.40 | +39.28% | 8.3% | IC 6.2B, WACC 6.7% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $42.68 | $37.56 – $47.80 | -51.54% | 14.2% | EPS 1.94 × peer P/E 22.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $15.50 | $13.17 – $17.82 | -82.40% | 3.6% | Rev/sh 9.69 × peer P/S 1.60 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $45.01 | $39.61 – $50.41 | -48.90% | 11.8% | EBITDA × peer 14.0× − ND -2.1B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $49.91 | $42.42 – $57.40 | -43.34% | 2.4% | EBIT × peer 16.8× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $15.61 | $13.27 – $17.96 | -82.27% | 2.4% | Sales × peer 1.36× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $35.22 | $29.93 – $40.50 | -60.02% | 1.2% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 18.2% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $34.84 | $30.65 – $39.02 | -60.45% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $79.16 | $67.28 – $91.03 | -10.13% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $31.87 | $27.09 – $36.65 | -63.81% | 0.6% | PE = g (16.4) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $9.64 | $9.16 – $10.12 | -89.06% | 1.2% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $6.87 | $5.84 – $7.90 | -92.20% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 5.3% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.50)β | × 0.50 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 6.69% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 5.96% |
| Effective tax ratet | 23.2% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 4.57% |
| Equity weight$8.3B | 100.0% |
| Debt weight$0.0B | 0.0% |
| WACC | 6.69% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 15.17% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 18.15% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 10.61% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 10.74% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 23.08% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 16.43% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 4.12% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Defensive (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $85.38
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.