Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$17.12
-98.00% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$854.96
Mkt cap $66.52B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$643.18
-24.77% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
10 / 10
7 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
LITE · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
LITE · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residual income | income | $11.61 | $10.21 – $13.00 | -98.64% | 29.3% | BV 14.30, ROE 2.3% → kₑ | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $10.36 | $9.12 – $11.60 | -98.79% | 24.4% | EPS 0.37 × peer P/E 28.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $124.42 | $105.75 – $143.08 | -85.45% | — | Rev/sh 20.74 × peer P/S 6.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $0.61 | $0.54 – $0.68 | -99.93% | 24.4% | EBITDA × peer 20.0× − ND 2.1B | high |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $79.44 | $67.52 – $91.35 | -90.71% | 12.2% | Sales × peer 5.10× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $14.80 | $12.58 – $17.02 | -98.27% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 2123.0% | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $17.70 | $15.05 – $20.36 | -97.93% | 2.4% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $9.25 | $7.86 – $10.64 | -98.92% | 2.4% | PE = g (25.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $14.30 | $13.59 – $15.02 | -98.33% | 4.9% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $0.32 | $0.27 – $0.37 | -99.96% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.53)β | × 1.53 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 11.30% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 0.85% |
| Effective tax ratet | 0.0% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 0.85% |
| Equity weight$1.1B | 30.3% |
| Debt weight$2.6B | 69.7% |
| WACC | 4.02% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 81.91% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 2122.99% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | -1.00% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -62.84% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 2.28% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 25.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-06-27)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Technology (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $643.18
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.