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Arphra AIPlain-English read on Lennox International Inc.’s valuationIncome statement
| In USD | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue & profit | |||||||||
| Revenue | $4.19B | $4.72B | $4.98B | $5.34B | $5.2B | $5.61B | $5.9B | $6.19B | $6.3B |
| Cost of revenue | $3.01B | $3.43B | $3.43B | $3.57B | $3.48B | $3.7B | $4.04B | $4.11B | $4.14B |
| Gross profit | $1.19B | $1.28B | $1.55B | $1.77B | $1.72B | $1.79B | $1.88B | $1.99B | $1.99B |
| Gross margin | +28.34% | +27.23% | +31.07% | +33.17% | +33.02% | +31.97% | +31.90% | +32.21% | +31.51% |
| Operating | |||||||||
| Research & development | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Selling, general & administrative | $598.9M | $627.2M | $705.5M | $730.6M | $681.4M | $776.94M | $783.88M | $820.89M | $840.28M |
| Total operating expenses | $598.1M | $628.5M | $757.7M | $737.1M | $699.7M | $775.24M | $825.43M | $875.32M | $877.03M |
| Operating income | $590.3M | $656.2M | $790.1M | $1.03B | $1.02B | $1.04B | $1.1B | $1.15B | $1.18B |
| Operating margin | +14.07% | +13.91% | +15.86% | +19.37% | +19.55% | +18.58% | +18.67% | +18.64% | +18.66% |
| EBITDA | $658.5M | $733.5M | $879.5M | $1.13B | $1.12B | $1.09B | $1.19B | $1.27B | $1.24B |
| EBIT | $586.1M | $655.6M | $793.5M | $1.04B | $1.01B | $1.01B | $1.06B | $1.11B | $1.15B |
| Below the line | |||||||||
| Interest expense | $26M | $39.8M | $56M | $44.1M | $40.9M | $51.86M | $55.12M | $55.22M | $58.85M |
| Interest income | $1M | $1.1M | $4.3M | $5.4M | $0 | $3.41M | $3.79M | $3.9M | $3.94M |
| Other income / expense | -$30.2M | -$40.4M | -$52.6M | -$41M | -$44.7M | — | — | — | — |
| Pre-tax income | $560.1M | $615.8M | $737.5M | $993.8M | $970.9M | $986.34M | $1B | $1.1B | $1.12B |
| Income tax expense | $96.1M | $118.7M | $147.4M | $186.9M | $184.7M | $182.29M | $198.4M | $203.42M | $207.51M |
| Earnings | |||||||||
| Net income | $464M | $497.1M | $590.1M | $806.9M | $786.2M | $776.57M | $813.4M | $864.26M | $893.28M |
| Net income · continuing ops | $464M | $497.1M | $590.1M | $806.9M | $786.2M | $800.49M | $812.95M | $873.88M | $888.59M |
| Net margin | +11.06% | +10.54% | +11.84% | +15.11% | +15.13% | +13.85% | +13.78% | +13.96% | +14.17% |
| EPS · basic | $12.47 | $13.92 | $16.62 | $22.67 | $22.31 | $24.53 | $26.39 | $29.58 | $30.71 |
| EPS · diluted | $12.37 | $13.89 | $16.53 | $22.54 | $22.22 | $24.29 | $26.63 | $29.08 | $30.49 |
| EPS · low estimate | — | — | — | — | — | $23.68 | $24.89 | $26.89 | $29.68 |
| EPS · high estimate | — | — | — | — | — | $24.69 | $27.80 | $33.67 | $31.65 |
| Shares · basic | 37.2M | 35.7M | 35.5M | 35.6M | 34.9M | 34.96M | 34.66M | 35.16M | 34.79M |
| Shares · diluted | 37.5M | 35.8M | 35.7M | 35.8M | 35.1M | 34.77M | 35.33M | 34.89M | 35.38M |
| Coverage | |||||||||
| Analysts (revenue) | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 16 | 10 | 5 |
| Analysts (EPS) | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 14 | 6 | 4 |
Coverage notes. Historical figures come’s as-reported income statements / balance sheets / cash flows in our data warehouse. Forecast columns (italicised, faint accent tint) carry vendor-supplied numbers where available (revenue + EPS consensus) and ratio-derived values for every other line. Margins / ratios are the trailing-3y average from history applied to the forecast revenue; values are clamped to enforce P&L identity (gross ≥ operating, EBITDA ≥ operating, net ≤ operating) and balance-sheet identity (assets = liabilities + equity by construction). Cash-flow FCF reconciles to OCF + CapEx. USD conversion uses the period-end close of the issuer's reported/USD pair from forex_prices_daily; share counts stay unconverted.
Financials
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