Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$57.22
+76.97% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$32.33
Mkt cap $1.36B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$33.75
+4.39% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
5 / 5
5 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
GIII · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
GIII · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justified P/E | multiple | $115.80 | $98.43 – $133.18 | +258.20% | 30.0% | Fair P/E 76.7 (payout 6%, kₑ 10.3%, g 10.2%) | med |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $30.20 | $26.58 – $33.82 | -6.59% | 60.0% | EPS 1.51 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $57.92 | $49.23 – $66.61 | +79.15% | 5.0% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 38.4% | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $42.96 | $36.51 – $49.40 | +32.87% | 2.5% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $15.35 | $13.05 – $17.66 | -52.51% | 2.5% | PE = g (10.2) | low |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.30)β | × 1.30 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 10.26% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 0.18% |
| Effective tax ratet | 39.1% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 0.11% |
| Equity weight$1.8B | 86.1% |
| Debt weight$0.3B | 13.9% |
| WACC | 8.85% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | -8.38% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 38.36% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 1.68% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -28.03% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 3.59% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 10.17% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-01-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $33.75
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.