Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$152.51
-40.43% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$256.00
Mkt cap $72.05B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$327.11
+27.78% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
ECL · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
ECL · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $290.27 | $185.86 – $491.56 | +13.39% | 22.3% | WACC 5.4%, g₀=12.9%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $144.12 | $110.16 – $193.62 | -43.70% | 16.8% | kₑ 8.6%, g₀=12.9%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $40.66 | $35.31 – $47.92 | -84.12% | — | D₁ 2.63, kₑ 8.6%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $62.43 | $49.02 – $80.61 | -75.61% | — | D₀ 2.63, g₀=12.9%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $51.84 | $44.06 – $59.62 | -79.75% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 12.9% → 2.0%, kₑ 8.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $44.51 | $39.17 – $49.85 | -82.61% | 11.2% | BV 34.25, ROE 21.2% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $301.44 | $265.27 – $337.62 | +17.75% | 7.8% | IC 18.6B, WACC 5.4% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $101.92 | $89.69 – $114.15 | -60.19% | 13.4% | EPS 7.28 × peer P/E 14.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $84.25 | $71.62 – $96.89 | -67.09% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 56.17 × peer P/S 1.50 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $78.14 | $68.76 – $87.52 | -69.48% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 9.0× − ND 8.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $79.19 | $67.32 – $91.07 | -69.06% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 10.8× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $40.94 | $34.80 – $47.08 | -84.01% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.27× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $104.19 | $88.56 – $119.82 | -59.30% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 14.3% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $123.11 | $108.34 – $137.88 | -51.91% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $246.65 | $209.65 – $283.64 | -3.65% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $94.07 | $79.96 – $108.18 | -63.26% | 0.6% | PE = g (12.9) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $34.25 | $32.53 – $35.96 | -86.62% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $9.04 | $7.69 – $10.40 | -96.47% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 9.9% · Reasonable — in line with sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.93)β | × 0.93 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 8.60% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 2.56% |
| Effective tax ratet | 18.2% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.09% |
| Equity weight$9.8B | 51.0% |
| Debt weight$9.4B | 49.0% |
| WACC | 5.41% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 10.26% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 14.31% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 6.01% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 16.81% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 13.48% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 12.92% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Basic Materials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $327.11
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.