Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$147.98
-34.48% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$225.85
Mkt cap $51.77B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$245.91
+8.88% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
AME · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
AME · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $243.58 | $177.07 – $348.34 | +7.85% | 22.3% | WACC 8.0%, g₀=16.6%, gₗ=2.8% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $197.17 | $149.58 – $267.50 | -12.70% | 16.8% | kₑ 9.1%, g₀=16.6%, gₗ=2.8% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $19.99 | $17.24 – $23.77 | -91.15% | — | D₁ 1.22, kₑ 9.1%, gₗ 2.8% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $33.39 | $26.29 – $43.19 | -85.22% | — | D₀ 1.22, g₀=16.6%, gₗ=2.8%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $27.05 | $22.99 – $31.11 | -88.02% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 16.6% → 2.8%, kₑ 9.1% | high |
| Residual income | income | $50.61 | $44.54 – $56.68 | -77.59% | 11.2% | BV 45.47, ROE 13.9% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $186.14 | $163.80 – $208.48 | -17.58% | 7.8% | IC 12.5B, WACC 8.0% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $128.00 | $112.64 – $143.36 | -43.33% | 13.4% | EPS 6.40 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $63.32 | $53.82 – $72.82 | -71.96% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 31.66 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $96.72 | $85.11 – $108.33 | -57.18% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 1.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $121.36 | $103.16 – $139.57 | -46.26% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $46.02 | $39.11 – $52.92 | -79.63% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $174.16 | $148.04 – $200.28 | -22.89% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 27.2% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $77.54 | $68.23 – $86.84 | -65.67% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $263.00 | $223.55 – $302.44 | +16.45% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $106.09 | $90.18 – $122.00 | -53.03% | 0.6% | PE = g (16.6) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $45.47 | $43.20 – $47.74 | -79.87% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $25.44 | $21.62 – $29.25 | -88.74% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 14.3% · Reasonable — in line with sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.03)β | × 1.03 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 9.07% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 3.56% |
| Effective tax ratet | 17.7% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 2.93% |
| Equity weight$10.6B | 82.3% |
| Debt weight$2.3B | 17.7% |
| WACC | 7.98% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 8.21% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 27.21% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 7.48% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 10.78% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 11.24% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 16.58% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.79% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2023-12-31)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $245.91
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.