Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$147.97
+791.38% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$16.60
Mkt cap $1.38B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
—
vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
5 / 5
2 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
AFGE · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
AFGE · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justified P/E | multiple | $157.10 | $133.54 – $180.67 | +846.40% | 42.9% | Fair P/E 15.6 (payout 72%, kₑ 7.5%, g 2.8%) | med |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $141.12 | $124.19 – $158.05 | +750.12% | 57.1% | EPS 10.08 × peer P/E 14.0 | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $99.35 | $84.45 – $114.25 | +498.49% | — | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 9.9% | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $139.84 | $118.87 – $160.82 | +742.42% | — | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $50.40 | $42.84 – $57.96 | +203.61% | — | PE = g (2.8) | low |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.69)β | × 0.69 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 7.53% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 4.40% |
| Effective tax ratet | 21.2% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.47% |
| Equity weight$4.8B | 72.6% |
| Debt weight$1.8B | 27.4% |
| WACC | 6.41% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | -8.90% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 9.86% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 7.04% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -5.46% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 4.90% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 2.78% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.32% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Financial Services (live sector PE unavailable)
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.