Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$746.57
-25.02% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$995.67
Mkt cap $62.38B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$1,037.13
+4.16% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
URI · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
URI · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $715.55 | $312.75 – $1,891.96 | -28.13% | 22.3% | WACC 6.6%, g₀=17.7%, gₗ=4.5% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $45.19 | $35.64 – $58.34 | -95.46% | 16.8% | kₑ 12.6%, g₀=17.7%, gₗ=4.5% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $99.29 | $88.47 – $113.14 | -90.03% | — | D₁ 7.77, kₑ 12.6%, gₗ 4.5% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $162.18 | $131.80 – $201.04 | -83.71% | — | D₀ 7.77, g₀=17.7%, gₗ=4.5%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $131.69 | $111.94 – $151.45 | -86.77% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 17.7% → 4.5%, kₑ 12.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $204.68 | $180.12 – $229.24 | -79.44% | 11.2% | BV 150.16, ROE 27.8% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $3,001.37 | $2,641.21 – $3,361.53 | +201.44% | 7.8% | IC 25.0B, WACC 6.6% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $772.20 | $679.54 – $864.86 | -22.44% | 13.4% | EPS 38.61 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $539.11 | $458.24 – $619.97 | -45.85% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 269.55 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $1,290.72 | $1,135.84 – $1,445.61 | +29.63% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 16.0B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $769.81 | $654.34 – $885.28 | -22.68% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $190.04 | $161.54 – $218.55 | -80.91% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $831.03 | $706.37 – $955.68 | -16.54% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 21.5% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $491.19 | $432.25 – $550.13 | -50.67% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $1,671.04 | $1,420.39 – $1,921.70 | +67.83% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $682.82 | $580.40 – $785.24 | -31.42% | 0.6% | PE = g (17.7) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $150.16 | $142.65 – $157.66 | -84.92% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $2.44 | $2.08 – $2.81 | -99.75% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 24.6% · Aggressive — well above sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (1.83)β | × 1.83 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 12.63% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 4.35% |
| Effective tax ratet | 25.2% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 3.25% |
| Equity weight$9.0B | 35.2% |
| Debt weight$16.5B | 64.8% |
| WACC | 6.56% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 7.16% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 21.52% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 13.46% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 19.35% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 22.64% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 17.69% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 4.45% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2021-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $1,037.13
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.